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January 26, 2011 at 9:25 am
Stock in the doldrums and Yi Shoufang strong reason?
- Tags: Bowen, Finance, regulatory policies, securities, stock, the main force
Since the stock market decline since August of last year, from the news has been filled the surface of rumors flying, and sometimes to increase the stamp duty, and sometimes have to raise interest rates because it is bad rumors continue, especially in raising interest rates this bad, was the main force agencies continue to use, has to flood level, even in yesterday’s disk also has been a constant in recent months more than 1, in the real estate control policies “under the influence”, the index is waterfalls, the logic behind it all in the end what is it?
To put it bluntly, is an “interest”!
Real estate control policies introduced, why not real estate prices fall? Also most of which Yishou Fang prices firm? Second-hand housing Daoshi first loose? The reason is that Yishou Fang is a group operation, once the price cuts will damage the interests of these groups, so bad are not afraid of the opposite second-hand housing in the hands of individual investors, the first performance for the panic, and if Yi Shoufang let go down the main investment agencies, second-hand housing prices will fall 50 percent believe it or not?
Corresponds to the stock market is now main institutions need Jiancang, chips from May to August in 2009 similar to the basic distributed, so must be cheap for the job happens good fundamentals in 2010, so investors see the long and short sides deadlocked several months, the index rose during the US-set, we are indifferent to, economic data, broader market malaise, a good real estate long-term control policy, was the main force to enlarge the bad, fall naturally occurring.
Jiancang need bad, so we can see the message everywhere, and a negative interest rate increase was the main force agencies to use many, why not? Supposed to be raising interest rates, central banks do not want to face the reality happens, we engage in frivolous the deposit reserve ratio increase, only to provide adequate soil for rumors, this is an inherent causality.
Jiancang transactions that need the disk, so do investors see short-term and sometimes high-opening, sometimes late in diving, and sometimes pulled up half an hour before the close, sharp shock in the medium and small investors in the fraudulent chips, the Dow Jones fall, we substantially increased, Dow Jones soared, we fall!
Main institutions need Jiancang stock, so take advantage of all of the information, including the negative and positive. Yi Shoufang too many interest groups involved the proceeds, so the face is bad chest and head high!
Only the poor vulnerable small and medium investors, faced with the reality, only flesh discount sell shares, then buy Gao Jiafang! The result is that the cycle is always struggling simply to survive! So we all have this chip real estate, the estate tax, property tax, vacant tax, secondary property tax would appear to use! Then has a house has a debt! Perhaps what should turn sold the house to buy cheap shares a high!
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January 23, 2011 at 9:25 am
Market rose imminent retaliatory
- Tags: a share, Bowen, Finance, securities, stock, the author
Index from 3180 points, just like half a month, such as mercury plummeted to 2665 points, diarrhea, losses for many investors, the Voice of Dunqi panic, just this time, I continue to adhere to the basic idea to see more, and that this The sudden drop in times, is a main control policies by the Xi Pan premeditated act, many small investors have been washed out, cheering on the one hand stuck in the main, on the other hand constantly in a message read on the author’s more than his best belittle their abilities and I face these naive investors, only the word lovely, poor person must have hated the Department, was sold for others Shu Chaopiao still there, reminding people of goodwill, was jealous of him as if I was sold? Sad! Alas!
I believe that the index is already near the 2700 tightening winding engine, retaliatory round of increases in sight! Like a tsunami was coming, those who blindly short, people are still bearish, leisurely stroll on the beach, play! Completely unaware of the rising storm impending tsunami!
May 10 may be a memorable day, I sent this blog, hope the same as a signal flare across the night sky! Illuminate the confidence of investors holding heart!
Friday the Dow Jones index has dropped, not to the author before the briefing, we are not followers of the U.S. economy, can invest in A shares would depend on the Americans face in essence, the I thought!
Starting from May 10 to allow movement of the Dow Jones index of hell, the future suggest that you forget this index! Predict the movement of its own A shares as forecast the trend! If those fund managers look at the decision-making before the Dow Jones up or down, the best to resign immediately and stop when the fund manager, and sounding in the reference, but in reality is their own lack confidence and want to do investment decisions relying on heart, This fund managers should not continue to work in this line!
Some investors forecast that Wang Weichen subjective, and objective basis in fact I said many times, but as long as second and third going up, those fickle investors have short memories, so now I do not want to mention , to tell you, the index began to rise this week, but the intensity of this round up is not small, across from the 2-3 quarter analysis of the challenges is entirely possible that another bloody 3361 points and 3478 points! In 2010, I repeat a hundred times!
Welcome part of the self-righteous anti-investors follow this blog was done, the stocks are sold today, wait until he thought of the 2000 points and then buy the dips it!
Now that more people do not much, and so on up the next two days, will immediately see more articles came out, but I immediately was the winner weapon! Personal diary, stock-reviewed Bowen! The author’s idea is to change in the market to investors before the suggestions!
Subjective and the objective of market problems, is a banner fixed the old problems, or heart, no one thought the proposal is sent through the brain, can be classified as subjective, the investment market is made up of people, all subjective people, It is not static things objectively, you can measurement, calculation, and then draw objective conclusions, so that the subjective can not be said in the investment market devoid of any merit, today, tomorrow, what I believe never completely objective basis so that you can stabilize profit! So should combine the use of subjective and objective! The main objective, subjective, supplemented! I believe that index to rise, this blog may seem subjective, but in reality is very much behind the objectivity, I do not want to repeat more!
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January 21, 2011 at 9:25 am
BOE main short-term funds opened manipulation scam
- Tags: BOE, Bowen, securities, Shares, the major funds
Observation of a stock, BOE A000725 recent trend, its share price trajectory can be moved to look into it main operation of fraudulent funds, the proposed medium and small investors not to seek the cheap trip this Tanghun Shui!
BOE a year ago, private placement of 50 million shares, a price 2.4 yuan per share, when the secondary market stock price at 4.8 yuan, a huge discount to ensure the success of additional, I remember the end of the due date International stock in the secondary market once the day is also soaring stock price manipulation has already appeared.
With the stock market adjustment state in 2010, the stock had to step by step with the broader market sank to June 8 of potential shares in the lifting of the ban under the pressure of share price has dropped to 3.64 yuan, in the June 9, lifting stocks the first day of release, the stock transaction once again the trend, especially in the late half an hour, the price is even more blatant move up straight, from the day’s lowest price jumped 3.57 yuan to 3.88 yuan close, Do not sell stocks lifted, ready to do wave of market? The answer is but is slow pulled down the next day’s closing price for the absolute height of a poor recognition of everything! If you really want to push them up, should be carried out after opening, how can the operational use of Yao City attack method? A look is the main psychological send virtual performance, not only to push them up, but also the ambivalence of fear of investors to sell!
Closing price of 3.88 yuan, even if the 20% decline in the future there may also be the price at 3.1 yuan, a further control line shipments, fell to 2.9 yuan than better!
In the June 10th day, a lot of lifting stocks such as thrown about, was by the daily limit on share price, but investors can also be found, there is always a lot of money constantly Limits on Sharu, as if the price was quite attractive In fact, this is the trap set by main force, but in order to attract small investors to follow suit to be cheap to buy and ship to the daily limit law too! But those big-budget buying from buying from the main operation of means of selling it, closing inventory, the main force of 25 billion chips sold, but also buy 15 million chips, follow the trend of people who bought an additional 1 billion yuan chips.
June 11 interpretation of that is opening Tiaokongdikai 3.3 yuan, the daily limit yesterday at 3.49 yuan to buy across the board trap investors continue to perform on the ship struck the trick into a 3.2-3.3 yuan Chu Huojia interval, the subsequent combination of tape and then create the root of false Yangxian 1-2, 3-15 days can be estimated shares would be issued all the shipping in the price of 3 yuan -3.2 per area, just one year, 2.4 yuan purchase price, about 3 yuan Chuhuo Jia, 30% of annualized revenue, for several billion dollars of capital attraction is quite substantial, bitter only ordinary secondary market investors, is stuck with is large probability of the event!
The current trend toward stock from the judge is a typical shipment diving trend worrying prospects for the future, investors do not rule out the possibility of dropped 2.4 yuan, from the great cycle analysis, the stock has fallen through 4 yuan platform targets at least fall space at 1.5 yuan to reach 2-2.5 per large probability events!
From the fundamental analysis, historical performance of BOE impressive, the huge amounts of money to invest in LCD panel production, industrial prospect with great industry risk, the future’s future hangs in! Once the product prices competitive, loss is inevitable. Another fast pace of new technology upgrading, product Prospects of!
From the perspective of risk control, the current price range is still not buying, in order to determine the author, if the price fell to 2.4 yuan to the vicinity, let others help you Lock the year that you can order 2009 of the additional purchase price, it not Yoshiya! So fall down is the opportunity to buy now or not to take this knife and in advance, so that people bought 2.4 yuan, 3.4 yuan to sell you back your money, and then dancing around 2.4 yuan! Never passive!
Standing in a cycle of analysis, the stock market should be a wave of speculation, the old shares of the main group is now placing operation, the new main just a tentative approach in the future even though the main operation, but also a longer time Jiancang period, so investors need to wait for the arrival of the bottom unit, I expected at 2.5 yuan, is its relatively solid base.
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January 3, 2011 at 9:25 am
Market in the end to fall to where?
- Tags: Bo Wen, China, Financial, securities, the author, the stock, wave theory
Index below the key support at 2890 points, the empty side of the bad news continued use of obscure low market prices drop, in a variety of vague rumors of bad, some investors Duolu fled, indices of potential dark clouds city ! Index will be down to where the future? From the fundamentals can not answer, but you can probably do a technical check, start with the chart to find it!
First, signal analysis from the market last year, bringing the author to judge the stock index futures rise expected in the regulation of factors, not yet in stock index futures opened on the agency’s background, the index did not surge, an error, want investors to understand, The author is not a fairy, is also an error to judge! Now according to a state of the market adjustment point for your reference. Disk is undoubtedly present in the fall, so the main goal of talking about what fell where the region? After the markets, such as up, we then can discuss how high up!
General judgments on the current 2860 Index is underestimated, 2 times 2001 After a decade of economic growth remains at 2 times, is not normal, is a step backwards, but look at the unusual IPO Rules to see IPO system of examination and approval system defects, to see if you can become rich as long as the listing of the listing regime, it may all seem “normal,” the.
Heaven itself, I firmly believe that this so-called control down a short, now crazy diving, down, but substantial increase in the next step is to provide a space, this is the author highlighted the main points, so the basic idea remains the short operation empty lot longer! However, this “empty” is not a very good grasp, if the firm’s investors face the present problem can be close to full storage operation strategy!
I propose three hypotheses drop goal for investors
1:
National Day in October last year after the start of the tape upward gap calculation, the Shanghai index in 2840 will be a force near the support, if the support points can be effectively supported, then this wave began in 3361 the revision to this end . Market will start a new round of increase in circulation, until the break 3478 points. This is a strong adjustment feature, the result is that the bottom of the sight, you will not need the flesh!
2: If this gap is filled, then the target index dropped 2,700 points, the test record of 2639 points last year, the goal position. At this point the market form a double bottom pattern, maintain Xiangxingzhengli, the next point along the area in 2700, on a point along the area in 3300, a breakthrough will occur in the next year, this is a trend in the level of interpretation.
3: There is a trend of the worst, the index fell below 2639 points, 1-2 months, then the total is expected to be completed in around 2500 points to adjust, re-start a wave of upward completely worth the wait. I think this is the wave of price decline limit, do not talk about to fall to 2,300 points, 2,000 points, or even 1700 points, I strongly deny these crazy ideas to see empty, do not use now threaten his own wave theory, there is random waves, a wave theory of shame, like fortune-teller to discredit the Book of the same!
I carried out three conditions above three assumptions, told investors that index falling space will be -1% – 2840 points — 2,700 -6%, -13% – 2500.
See the above three judgments, the index is merely the largest decline in 13%, then the flesh whether investors must liquidate it now? The author’s answer is no, determined not to cut, is the probability dictates, after all, only the largest room down only 13% fall in the range of the corresponding shares between 0-20%, it is inaction!
I believe the Chinese economy has come out of the shadow of the crisis, with further economic development, China’s stock market rose totally worth the wait! To see many blue chips, hovering near the issue price, naturally they have their own shortcomings, but excessive market reaction, the corresponding elephant can not but say that is an opportunity, Buffett was also 3 per time not to invest heavily in China oil, the key is the price! The corresponding index of 2860 place the current point will not be persistent! Because it is low, it is a fact!
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